{"id":58370,"date":"2025-07-14T09:37:55","date_gmt":"2025-07-14T06:37:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/jetlak.app\/?p=58370"},"modified":"2025-07-14T09:37:55","modified_gmt":"2025-07-14T06:37:55","slug":"abd-icin-resesyon-riski-dustu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jetlak.app\/?p=58370","title":{"rendered":"ABD i\u00e7in resesyon riski d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"ABD<\/p>\n

Ekonomistler ABD’de resesyon riskini daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck, istihdam art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bekliyor.<\/p>\n

The Wall Street Journal’\u0131n \u00fc\u00e7 ayl\u0131k profesyonel ekonomistler anketine g\u00f6re, ekonomistler \u00fc\u00e7 ay \u00f6ncesine k\u0131yasla daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fcme ve yeni isitihdam yaratma, daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck resesyon riski ve daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck enflasyon bekliyorlar. WSJ’\u0131n \u00f6nceki anketi, ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump’\u0131n Amerika’n\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck ticaret ortaklar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 sert tarifeler uygulama tehditlerinin zirveye \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00f6nemde yap\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Ancak Trump, k\u0131sa s\u00fcre sonra baz\u0131 tarifeleri ertelemi\u015fti. Bu iyimser havan\u0131n kal\u0131c\u0131 olup olmayaca\u011f\u0131 ise hen\u00fcz belirsiz. Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz hafta Trump, Brezilya, Kanada, Meksika ve Avrupa Birli\u011fi dahil olmak \u00fczere bir\u00e7ok ticaret orta\u011f\u0131na 1 A\u011fustos’tan itibaren \u00e7ok daha y\u00fcksek tarifelerle kar\u015f\u0131la\u015facaklar\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. Ekonomistlerin g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc son ankete g\u00f6re bir miktar iyile\u015fse de, hala nispeten karamsarlar; bunun en olas\u0131 nedeni, ticaret belirsizli\u011finin devam etmesi ve \u015fimdiye kadarki s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme. Ortalama olarak, enflasyona g\u00f6re d\u00fczeltilmi\u015f gayri safi yurt i\u00e7i has\u0131lan\u0131n (GSY\u0130H) d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131la g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 1 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesini bekliyorlar. Bu, Nisan ay\u0131ndaki y\u00fczde 0,8’lik tahminden y\u00fcksek, ancak Ocak ay\u0131nda beklediklerinin sadece yar\u0131s\u0131. B\u00fcy\u00fcmenin 2026’da y\u00fczde 1,9’a y\u00fckselmesini bekliyorlar ki bu, \u00f6nceki anketlere g\u00f6re \u00e7ok az de\u011fi\u015fmi\u015f durumda. Resesyon olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 12 ay i\u00e7inde ortalama y\u00fczde 33 olarak belirlediler; bu oran Nisan ay\u0131ndaki y\u00fczde 45’ten d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck, ancak Ocak ay\u0131ndaki y\u00fczde 22’den y\u00fcksek.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Ekonomistler ABD’de resesyon riskini daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck, istihdam art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bekliyor. The Wall Street Journal’\u0131n \u00fc\u00e7 ayl\u0131k profesyonel ekonomistler anketine g\u00f6re, ekonomistler \u00fc\u00e7 ay \u00f6ncesine k\u0131yasla daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fcme ve yeni isitihdam yaratma, daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck resesyon riski ve daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck enflasyon bekliyorlar. WSJ’\u0131n \u00f6nceki anketi, ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump’\u0131n Amerika’n\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck ticaret ortaklar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":57765,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jnews-multi-image_gallery":[],"jnews_single_post":[],"jnews_primary_category":[],"jnews_social_meta":[],"jnews_review":[],"enable_review":"","type":"","name":"","summary":"","brand":"","sku":"","good":[],"bad":[],"score_override":"","override_value":"","rating":[],"price":[],"jnews_override_counter":[],"jnews_post_split":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[103],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-58370","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ntv-k"],"amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jetlak.app\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/58370","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jetlak.app\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jetlak.app\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jetlak.app\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jetlak.app\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=58370"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/jetlak.app\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/58370\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jetlak.app\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/57765"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jetlak.app\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=58370"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jetlak.app\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=58370"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jetlak.app\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=58370"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}